DEBUNKUNG ECONOMIC MYTHOLOGY - PART3"THE FUTILITY OF INSTITUTIONAL MEDDLING"
My mission for this week
A number of readers who responded to my post last
Monday, on "inflation and interest rate suppression" asked
me to explain the roles of the International Monetary Fund
(IMF), the World Bank and the Bank of International
Settlements (BIS).
Ever obliging, my response is as follows:
The BIS stands out in this trio as the institution that has a
useful function. It was formed in 1930 and is owned by the
world's 60 central banks. It acts as a prime counterparty for
central banks in their financial transactions, mainly
international. It also engages generally in discussion
between central banks, with the intention of fostering
collaboration between them.
The IMF is different. It was established at Bretton Woods in
1945 at the same conference that put the dollar on the Gold
Standard at the redemption exchange rate of $35 for an
ounce of gold.
The IMF comprises 189 countries and its ambitious
founding aims are: "to foster global monetary cooperation,
to secure financial stability, to facilitate international
trade, promote high employment & sustainable economic
growth, and reduce poverty around the world."
Although not mentioned specifically as one of its original
aims, the IMF is now permitted to make sovereign loans, on
highly preferential terms, to countries with profligate
leaders and ailing economies (two features causally related).
The latest is yet another loan to Brazil.
In this sense it acts in a quasi-central banking role. For
example, the European Central Bank (ECB) is using the
confetti it prints every month to bail out every nation in the
Eurozone whose finances are stretched to breaking point,
partly no doubt to discourage another EU exit!
Grandiose aims
Although the above-declared aims appear to be laudable
enough, once the gloss is removed they fall plainly into the
category of "wouldn't it be great if..." or, in plainer terms,
"pie in the sky". Let's look at these fine words.
How would they "foster global monetary cooperation" when
each country ploughs its own monetary furrow and differs
from others only in the degree of purchasing power it
destroys every year? The IMF also wants to "facilitate
international trade"? Well, just look around you. The
countries that trade most successfully are those that pursue
policies of genuine free trade - and recognise that trade
takes place between businesses, not governments. The last
thing they need is help from the IMF
Employment levels
Note that the IMF also wants to "promote high employment
and sustainable economic growth". Well, again, wouldn't that
be nice! An external agency like the IMF is in no position to
promote high employment in a country that, like France
(one of the IMF's own founding signatories), inflicts
prohibitive employment taxes, insurances and other
surcharges of various descriptions on employers
I have received first hand information from a Languedoc
winegrower that to put 100 euros in a worker's pocket it
costs the employer 170 euros (a tax equal to 70% of net
pay). Moreover, dispensing with an employee's services
triggers entitlement to a wholly disproportionate level of
compensation that the beleaguered employer must bear:
Is it any wonder that small and growing businesses are
petrified of officially taking on much-needed labour? Or that
there are such persistently high levels of unemployment in
France?
As for sustainable economic growth, you can't have that at
the same time as high unemployment. Sorry, IMF
Poverty reduction
Oh, and the IMF also wants to "reduce poverty around the
world" - another candidate for the "pious hope" award
In any case, this aim overlaps the remit of the World Bank,
which includes the provision of loans for capital projects
around the world. The World Bank comprises the
International Bank for Reconstruction and Development
(IBRD) and the International Development Association
(DA).
While its humanitarian aims, such as reducing child
mortality, combating diseases and improving maternal
health, are undoubtedly bringing about major improvements
on these issues in poorer countries, getting value for money
is a far more questionable proposition when it involves
throwing billions at projects for constructing bridges
reservoirs, dams, grain silos, power stations, motorways,
airports and harbours
"Blind costing"
The World Bank has never learnt the lesson of grossly
wasteful spending without economic analysis. Even China
has discovered that pointless dispensation of funds on
needless projects must be stopped. Swathes of office and
residential spending in Binhai New Area remain empty. Big-
ticket projects, including major high way and high-speed rail
networks, are underused and have failed in their demand
stimulation objectives.
All extravagant monetary dispensation, whether it emanates
from government-led development aid quotas or the World
Bank, and no matter how well meaning, suffers from the
"blind costing" syndrome: such projects are not, and can
never be, susceptible to independent economic calculation
Only an enterprise with private capital, whose own money is
at stake, is capable of arriving at a risk/reward equation that
alone will show how feasible a multi-billion dollar project
may be.
Such independent analysis will always be superior to the
"perceived advantage" motivation, which squanders billions
on poorly conceived and mismanaged "good ideas" that
were of questionable viability in the first place, including
some that have caused environmental havoc and have
harmed indigenous people - such as the Kenyan project on
Lake Turkana that led to land-grabbing and serious
territorial disruption.
Corruption
And there is always the corruption factor. As I stated in my
23 July "Going Postal" essay (on the supreme irony of EU
tariff rules that effectively disallow imports from poorer
countries that finish up needing EU aid instead):
"People in these developing countries have to be sustained by
inefficient and corrupt foreign aid programmes. As we know,
much of this money, sequestered from domestic taxpayers and
given to aid agencies, finds its way into the private coffers of
feckless elites in countries consistently pillaged by their own
rulers.
"Lessons taught over more than 50 years have shown that (i)
the more development aid a country receives, the less likely it
is to achieve economic success; (ii) excessive largesse tends to
undermine the recipient country's own food and agricultural industry, making famine more rather than less likely; and (ii)
aid can never take the place of self-reliance.
And don't lose sight of the cost. These mega-institutions
have thousands on their government payrolls, all
handsomely paid by taxpayers who never voted on any of it.